Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -240 MORG +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -0.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -1.7 (-8.7) | 142.3 (+10.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -0.2 (-7.2) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -0.1 (-6.9) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -0.9 (-7.9) | 142.8 (+10.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | JMU 89 – 75 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#175) | 2.6 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#249) | 0.82 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#266) | 1.06 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#208) | 0.533 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.