Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | MORG +1450 JMU -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +14 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -20.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -12.9 (-1.1) | 161.9 (+2.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -11.8 (-2.2) | 161.5 (+2.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -14.0 (-0.0) | 160.4 (+3.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -14.6 (+0.6) | 161.9 (+2.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2021 | MORG 80 – 73 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#348) | 11.8 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#342) | 3.72 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#335) | 5.07 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#316) | 0.581 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.