Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | MINN -115 OSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -1.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.4 (+14.6) | 152.3 (-15.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -0.8 (+16.2) | 147.3 (-10.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -2.0 (+15.0) | 150.9 (-13.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.5 (+14.5) | 152.3 (-15.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#48) | 12.9 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#20) | 2.26 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.13 (#18) | 3.88 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#26) | 0.615 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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