Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +190 CSUB -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +13 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -9.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -6.1 (-6.9) | 147.9 (+17.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -8.8 (-4.2) | 146.6 (+18.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -7.0 (-6.0) | 150.7 (+14.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -6.4 (-6.6) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 4-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 4-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#314) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#163) | -0.38 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#193) | 0.24 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#165) | 0.470 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 43.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 38.5% |
Game Analysis
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