Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | GW +290 DUQ -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -5.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -3.4 (+5.4) | 143.3 (+4.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -4.9 (+6.9) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -4.0 (+6.0) | 145.8 (+2.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -2.9 (+4.9) | 145.1 (+2.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DUQ 88 – 86 GW |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 65 GW |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Mar 3, 2022 | GW 98 – 93 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-12 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 3-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 5-1 |
| Away | 1-5 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#243) | 3.8 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#319) | 0.22 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#307) | 0.03 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.341 (#320) | 0.536 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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