Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +200 UNI -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -0.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -1.5 (+4.5) | 135.8 (-1.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -0.7 (+5.3) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -1.2 (+4.8) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -1.7 (+4.3) | 136.9 (-2.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#245) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#190) | -0.96 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#203) | -1.04 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#194) | 0.485 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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