Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | ORE -270 STAN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -5.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.2 (+10.8) | 139.7 (-10.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -5.5 (+11.5) | 138.0 (-9.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -4.2 (+12.8) | 141.6 (-12.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -5.1 (+11.9) | 139.1 (-10.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | ORE 76 – 61 STAN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ORE 78 – 65 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | ORE 73 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | STAN 71 – 64 ORE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ORE 68 – 60 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#28) | 10.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#23) | 1.81 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#19) | 3.04 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#41) | 0.601 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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