I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Summit League · Baxter Arena · January 3, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money OMA +145 / ORU -165
Model Predictions
Spread Total OMA win
Actual ORU +11 161 Lost
Massey ORU -8.0 (-3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 153.7 (+7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -5.9 (-5.1) 150.5 (+10.5) 29% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -6.5 (-4.5) 156.3 (+4.7) 23% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -6.4 (-4.6) 154.5 (+6.5) 26% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -6.3 (-4.7) 151.5 (+9.5) 24% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 OMA 80 – 71 ORU
Jan 18, 2026 OMA 73 – 62 ORU
Mar 1, 2025 OMA 80 – 57 ORU
Jan 26, 2025 OMA 84 – 76 ORU
Feb 23, 2024 OMA 71 – 70 ORU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OMA ORU
Overall 5-20 18-11
Conference 3-11 10-5
Home 1-5 8-3
Away 3-12 5-7
Neutral 1-3 5-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.3 78.9
Avg Pts Against 78.0 77.2
Massey -8.5 (#289) 2.9 (#116)
Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#256) 0.29 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.14 (#273) 0.49 (#150)
RPI 0.462 (#215) 0.552 (#90)
Shooting & Four Factors OMA ORU
FG% 39.9% 41.0%
3PT% 30.1% 34.9%
REB / G 35.0 35.0
OREB / G 8.8 11.0
AST / TO 0.64 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.9% 49.6%
TOV% 20.9% 17.2%
ORB% 23.4% 27.0%
FT Rate 20.0% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.5%
DRB% 72.2% 62.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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