Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | DEL +145 COFC -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -4.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.8 (-9.8) | 133.3 (-8.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -2.8 (-9.8) | 127.0 (-2.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.0 (-10.0) | 132.8 (-7.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -2.3 (-9.3) | 132.7 (-7.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 23, 2024 | COFC 90 – 71 DEL |
| Feb 4, 2023 | COFC 84 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 7, 2023 | COFC 75 – 64 DEL |
| Feb 25, 2022 | COFC 99 – 96 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 6-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#264) | -6.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#254) | -2.52 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#260) | -3.30 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#296) | 0.379 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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