Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | UND -145 KC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +24 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -2.6 (-26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -1.8 (-25.8) | 124.8 (+5.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -2.9 (-26.9) | 124.4 (+5.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.9 (-25.9) | 124.6 (+5.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -1.6 (-25.6) | 124.9 (+5.1) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#253) | -4.9 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#279) | -3.39 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#263) | -4.67 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#283) | 0.376 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 51.2% |
Game Analysis
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