Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | UNM +210 NEV -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +10 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -3.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -2.7 (-7.3) | 135.9 (+22.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -2.8 (-7.2) | 132.8 (+25.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -2.7 (-7.3) | 136.1 (+21.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -3.4 (-6.6) | 135.8 (+22.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 10-7 |
| Home | 1-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#261) | 0.6 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#173) | 0.41 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#188) | 0.40 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#79) | 0.534 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 23.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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