Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -180 LEH +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -5.1 (+6.9) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -4.7 (+7.3) | 157.8 (-5.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Game Analysis
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