Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | WSU +320 ARIZ -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -9.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+38.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -6.0 (+2.0) | 130.5 (+37.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -6.7 (+2.7) | 133.4 (+34.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -7.4 (+3.4) | 135.8 (+32.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.5 (+2.5) | 134.8 (+33.2) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | WSU 77 – 74 ARIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WSU 73 – 70 ARIZ |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ARIZ 63 – 58 WSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WSU 74 – 61 ARIZ |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ARIZ 72 – 60 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#129) | 14.9 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#30) | 2.20 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#45) | 3.69 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#127) | 0.584 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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