Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -600 W&M +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -11.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -9.4 (-0.4) | 138.0 (+17.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -8.0 (+1.0) | 138.8 (+16.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -10.2 (-1.2) | 138.7 (+16.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -9.1 (-0.1) | 138.3 (+16.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-6 |
| Home | 7-3 | 1-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#121) | -5.8 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#72) | -1.20 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#76) | -2.23 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#50) | 0.453 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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