Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -600 SAM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +10 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -4.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -4.1 (+5.9) | 145.8 (+32.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.4 (+5.6) | 145.7 (+32.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.6 (+5.4) | 147.4 (+30.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.9 (+6.1) | 147.1 (+30.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | SAM 97 – 80 WOF |
| Jan 21, 2026 | WOF 88 – 78 SAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SAM 76 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SAM 77 – 61 WOF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WOF 91 – 69 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 6-13 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 2-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 4-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#106) | 2.6 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#111) | 0.70 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#81) | 1.10 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#82) | 0.569 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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