Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GT -550 WAKE +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -5.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -1.0 (+17.0) | 150.0 (-26.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -4.0 (+12.0) | 152.9 (-28.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -0.7 (+15.3) | 149.3 (-25.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WAKE 69 – 43 GT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GT 70 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 51 GT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 70 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#105) | 12.7 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#122) | 0.51 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#99) | 0.78 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#187) | 0.456 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 52.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 60.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 36.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 33.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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