In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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6–2 on winners spread MAE 8.2 9 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ SMU +1.5 137.6 52% 74–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Michigan +6.1 148.0 74% 66–85 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +7.6 128.0 77% 54–56 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross — — — 83–76 —
Stanford @ Oregon State -5.5 134.3 25% 81–71 ✓
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -16.2 145.7 12% 85–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Siena +1.6 153.9 55% 62–76 ✓
Campbell @ Gardner-Webb +4.2 141.7 68% 70–61 ✗
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate +0.3 139.2 51% 69–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.