Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SMU +105 HOU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SMU -0.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -0.1 (-13.9) | 140.2 (-6.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -0.3 (-14.3) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -1.8 (-15.8) | 137.5 (-3.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -1.5 (-15.5) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | HOU 80 – 65 SMU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | HOU 87 – 53 SMU |
| Feb 27, 2022 | HOU 75 – 61 SMU |
| Feb 10, 2022 | SMU 85 – 83 HOU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | HOU 70 – 48 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-6 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 14-3 |
| Home | 6-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-2 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#27) | 16.2 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#7) | 3.10 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.75 (#13) | 5.34 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#13) | 0.646 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 41.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.