Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -440 NU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -6.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -7.0 (+12.0) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -5.5 (+13.5) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.1 (+12.9) | 150.3 (+0.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -6.1 (+12.9) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MICH 87 – 75 NU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 NU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NU 76 – 62 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | MICH 68 – 51 NU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | MICH 85 – 78 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 6-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-2 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#22) | 11.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.16 (#2) | 2.19 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.27 (#3) | 3.99 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.687 (#6) | 0.571 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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