Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | ORST +210 STAN -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -8.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -5.5 (-4.5) | 134.7 (+17.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -3.6 (-6.4) | 133.7 (+18.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -4.4 (-5.6) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -5.5 (-4.5) | 134.3 (+17.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ORST 85 – 73 STAN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | STAN 88 – 84 ORST |
| Mar 3, 2023 | STAN 83 – 60 ORST |
| Jan 20, 2023 | STAN 67 – 46 ORST |
| Feb 13, 2022 | STAN 76 – 65 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | 9.5 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#203) | 1.83 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#177) | 2.97 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#215) | 0.615 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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