Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +850 WIN -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -21.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -14.2 (-1.8) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -13.7 (-2.3) | 145.9 (+8.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -17.3 (+1.3) | 146.9 (+7.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -16.2 (+0.2) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | WIN 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 27, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 84 WIN |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIN 81 – 77 CHSO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | WIN 83 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIN 102 – 97 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 23-2 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 17-1 |
| Home | 1-9 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#328) | 10.0 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.34 (#341) | 2.74 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.18 (#340) | 3.68 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#317) | 0.640 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.45 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 29.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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