I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Big Sky Conference · Dahlberg Arena · January 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MONT -5.0 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money MONT -220 / UNCO +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total MONT win
Actual MONT +2 110 Won
Massey MONT -12.0 (-10.0) — —
Massey Totals — 124.6 (-14.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MONT -7.9 (-5.9) 128.9 (-18.9) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MONT -7.1 (-5.1) 126.8 (-16.8) 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MONT -8.8 (-6.8) 127.9 (-17.9) 78% ✓
Baseline ML MONT -7.6 (-5.6) 128.0 (-18.0) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 9, 2026 MONT 95 – 89 UNCO
Mar 3, 2026 UNCO 85 – 57 MONT
Jan 3, 2026 MONT 88 – 79 UNCO
Mar 13, 2025 MONT 91 – 83 UNCO
Feb 7, 2025 MONT 86 – 78 UNCO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MONT UNCO
Overall 15-13 11-11
Conference 7-9 6-8
Home 8-4 6-5
Away 5-8 4-5
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.2 68.0
Avg Pts Against 69.3 70.5
Massey 2.2 (#131) -6.5 (#267)
Bradley-Terry -1.51 (#267) -1.01 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#237) -2.22 (#278)
RPI 0.479 (#195) 0.413 (#275)
Shooting & Four Factors MONT UNCO
FG% 41.2% 41.3%
3PT% 35.6% 35.8%
REB / G 31.0 29.5
OREB / G 6.6 7.3
AST / TO 0.74 0.52
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 47.7%
TOV% 20.5% 23.0%
ORB% 20.4% 22.2%
FT Rate 29.9% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 19.1%
DRB% 66.5% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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