This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–6 on winners spread MAE 10.8 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern Illinois @ Drake +16.2 145.4 88% 55–86 ✓
Hampton @ Radford +3.6 132.1 62% 66–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State +11.3 150.1 88% 78–86 ✓
Maryland @ Indiana +3.5 143.7 69% 55–63 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +1.6 144.3 57% 87–84 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +3.3 131.3 66% 65–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -2.6 151.2 37% 61–81 ✗
Jackson State @ Alabama State +1.0 127.7 47% 60–44 ✗
Holy Cross @ Boston University +14.3 149.9 78% 68–66 ✗
Toledo @ Kent State +1.8 142.9 61% 84–82 ✗
Campbell @ Gardner-Webb +1.9 142.0 61% 70–85 ✓
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -14.9 143.3 14% 78–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ James Madison +4.8 142.6 75% 70–79 ✓
Dayton @ Fordham -15.6 125.9 18% 54–55 ✗
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate +1.3 138.5 50% 59–65 ✓
Hampton @ Radford +3.7 131.5 64% 65–76 ✓
Central Michigan @ Bowling Green +11.4 154.2 84% 69–90 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +23.2 140.9 91% 73–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.