You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Case Gym · January 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BU -14.5 Away covered
O/U 147.0 Under
Money BU -1600 / HC +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total BU win
Actual HC +2 134 Lost
Massey BU -10.2 (-12.2) — —
Massey Totals — 153.5 (-19.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Baseline ML BU -14.3 (-16.3) 149.9 (-15.9) 78% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BU -11.8 (-13.8) 148.8 (-14.8) 85% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 BU 78 – 63 HC
Feb 3, 2026 BU 72 – 64 HC
Feb 8, 2025 HC 72 – 52 BU
Jan 28, 2025 BU 69 – 59 HC
Mar 2, 2024 BU 94 – 84 HC

Game Analysis

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