Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | IU -210 MD +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -3.2 (+4.8) | 143.4 (-25.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -1.3 (+6.7) | 136.6 (-18.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -3.3 (+4.7) | 142.3 (-24.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -3.5 (+4.5) | 143.7 (-25.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | IU 84 – 66 MD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MD 79 – 78 IU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | IU 83 – 78 MD |
| Dec 2, 2023 | IU 65 – 53 MD |
| Mar 11, 2023 | IU 70 – 60 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#41) | 12.3 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#55) | 2.30 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#36) | 3.65 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#85) | 0.640 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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