Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MD -450 IU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -8.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -7.2 (-12.2) | 138.6 (+22.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -7.1 (-12.1) | 135.9 (+25.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -6.3 (-11.3) | 134.8 (+26.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -7.1 (-12.1) | 136.2 (+24.8) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | IU 84 – 66 MD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | MD 79 – 78 IU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | IU 65 – 53 MD |
| Mar 11, 2023 | IU 70 – 60 MD |
| Feb 1, 2023 | MD 66 – 55 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#49) | 4.7 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#97) | 1.25 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#71) | 1.53 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#141) | 0.542 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.