Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +1000 WIN -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -20.3 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -12.7 (+10.7) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -14.1 (+12.1) | 147.7 (+6.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -15.7 (+13.7) | 144.9 (+9.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -14.9 (+12.9) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | WIN 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 27, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 84 WIN |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIN 81 – 77 CHSO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | WIN 83 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIN 102 – 97 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 23-2 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 17-1 |
| Home | 1-9 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#328) | 10.0 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.44 (#343) | 2.84 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.37 (#342) | 3.72 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#284) | 0.615 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.46 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 27.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 81.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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