Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | KENT -145 TOL +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOL +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -4.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -2.4 (-4.4) | 143.6 (+22.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -2.7 (-4.7) | 143.4 (+22.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -1.7 (-3.7) | 144.5 (+21.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -1.8 (-3.8) | 142.9 (+23.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | KENT 75 – 72 TOL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | KENT 87 – 84 TOL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | KENT 105 – 65 TOL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | KENT 83 – 64 TOL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | KENT 67 – 59 TOL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-4 |
| Home | 9-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 81.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#67) | 6.8 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#164) | 1.51 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#139) | 2.45 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#138) | 0.553 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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