Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
| Money | BGSU -450 CMU +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +21 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -11.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -10.9 (+10.1) | 155.0 (+4.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -9.1 (+11.9) | 154.4 (+4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -10.9 (+10.1) | 156.0 (+3.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -11.4 (+9.6) | 154.2 (+4.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 7-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-13 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 10-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#85) | -2.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#65) | -1.18 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#91) | -1.77 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#71) | 0.407 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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