Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -600 SIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -18.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -16.0 (+15.0) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -15.3 (+15.7) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -17.2 (+13.8) | 143.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -16.2 (+14.8) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#22) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#19) | 0.62 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#24) | 0.18 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#79) | 0.521 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 42.2% | 41.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 4.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 14.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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