Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -430 CSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -4.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -3.6 (+9.4) | 130.5 (+12.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -3.0 (+10.0) | 130.8 (+12.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -4.2 (+8.8) | 130.6 (+12.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -3.3 (+9.7) | 131.3 (+11.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 62 CSU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSU 83 – 74 SDSU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 50 CSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSU 68 – 63 SDSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SDSU 75 – 60 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#45) | 10.1 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#51) | 2.39 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#57) | 2.56 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#23) | 0.651 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 10.8% |
Game Analysis
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