Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Big South Conference · Paul Porter Arena · January 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -5.0 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money GWEB -210 / CAM +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total GWEB win
Actual CAM +9 131 Lost
Massey GWEB -6.8 (-15.8) — —
Massey Totals — 141.5 (-10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -4.6 (-13.6) 141.2 (-10.2) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -4.8 (-13.8) 140.8 (-9.8) 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -5.0 (-14.0) 142.2 (-11.2) 73% ✗
Baseline ML GWEB -4.2 (-13.2) 141.7 (-10.7) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2023 GWEB 77 – 73 CAM
Jan 5, 2023 CAM 63 – 58 GWEB
Mar 5, 2022 GWEB 54 – 53 CAM
Feb 10, 2022 GWEB 57 – 45 CAM
Mar 2, 2021 CAM 63 – 57 GWEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GWEB CAM
Overall 11-15 17-10
Conference 10-10 11-6
Home 7-4 9-3
Away 4-11 6-7
Neutral 0-0 1-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.7 68.4
Avg Pts Against 68.4 67.9
Massey -1.0 (#177) -4.4 (#239)
Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#225) -0.82 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.37 (#238) -1.94 (#264)
RPI 0.495 (#169) 0.481 (#191)
Shooting & Four Factors GWEB CAM
FG% 40.2% 49.1%
3PT% 35.1% 30.7%
REB / G 35.9 25.0
OREB / G 8.7 4.7
AST / TO 1.02 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 54.1%
TOV% 17.9% 21.0%
ORB% 22.8% 15.9%
FT Rate 21.4% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 25.0%
DRB% 69.3% 62.0%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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