Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -150 NAVY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -0.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.6 (-4.6) | 144.3 (-21.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -0.5 (-3.5) | 143.1 (-20.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.4 (-3.4) | 144.2 (-21.2) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NAVY 74 – 69 BUCK |
| Feb 9, 2026 | NAVY 76 – 60 BUCK |
| Jan 8, 2026 | NAVY 76 – 55 BUCK |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAVY 83 – 77 BUCK |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BUCK 85 – 75 NAVY |
Game Analysis
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