Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -125 COLO +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -6.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -3.6 (+6.6) | 144.2 (-17.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.9 (+6.9) | 137.8 (-10.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.2 (+6.2) | 143.8 (-16.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -3.9 (+6.9) | 144.8 (-17.8) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#63) | 17.8 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#73) | 2.18 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#70) | 3.52 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#77) | 0.610 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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