Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.0 Under |
| Money | GONZ -7000 SF +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -17.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.4 (+7.6) | 159.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -14.6 (+8.4) | 152.9 (-5.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -15.2 (+7.8) | 157.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -14.7 (+8.3) | 158.1 (-11.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | GONZ 80 – 59 SF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | GONZ 68 – 66 SF |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GONZ 85 – 76 SF |
| Mar 2, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 75 SF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GONZ 88 – 77 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 4-9 |
| Home | 12-0 | 3-5 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#3) | 6.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.86 (#1) | 0.55 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.90 (#1) | 0.69 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.710 (#5) | 0.536 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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