Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | NE -280 ELON +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NE -11.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -8.0 (-0.0) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -7.8 (+0.2) | 130.3 (-6.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -7.9 (+0.1) | 130.5 (-6.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -8.4 (-0.4) | 131.2 (-7.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Home | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -6.6 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#195) | -0.92 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#177) | -1.66 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.393 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
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