Betting Lines
| Spread | FRES -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | FRES -135 WYO +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -0.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.0 (-3.0) | 149.7 (+2.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FRES -0.6 (-4.6) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -2.0 (-2.0) | 150.2 (+1.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -0.4 (-3.6) | 150.3 (+1.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#250) | -1.2 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#217) | 0.42 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#230) | 0.55 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#89) | 0.411 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 18.9% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 82.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.