Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | DRKE -600 SIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -15.1 (+2.9) | 149.5 (-21.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -15.4 (+2.6) | 141.4 (-13.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -14.9 (+3.1) | 147.6 (-19.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -14.9 (+3.1) | 149.1 (-21.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#21) | -0.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#19) | 0.67 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#24) | 0.21 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#113) | 0.484 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 4.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 15.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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