Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -500 ALA +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -16.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.5 (-21.5) | 144.7 (-10.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -12.1 (-20.1) | 145.6 (-11.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -13.3 (-21.3) | 146.3 (-12.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -13.3 (-21.3) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ALA 71 – 69 TENN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | TENN 79 – 73 ALA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TENN 79 – 76 ALA |
| Mar 3, 2024 | TENN 81 – 74 ALA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TENN 91 – 71 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 26-7 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-4 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 22.1 (#2) | 9.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#2) | 1.64 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.77 (#1) | 2.47 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#29) | 0.607 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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