Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -23.5 Home covered |
| Money | SJSU +320 BOIS -430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -37.6 (+36.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -14.5 (+13.5) | 146.9 (+26.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -11.6 (+10.6) | 154.9 (+18.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -20.3 (+19.3) | 159.2 (+13.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -17.1 (+16.1) | 153.0 (+20.0) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 0-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -22.9 (#333) | 18.3 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#322) | 3.02 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.55 (#321) | 4.63 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#303) | 0.623 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 23.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 34.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 39.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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