And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Summit League · Western Hall · January 2, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NDSU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 138.0 Under
Money WIU +240 / NDSU -280
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual NDSU +18 118 Lost
Massey NDSU -2.3 (-15.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.3 (-17.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 49% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NDSU -1.4 (-16.6) 138.6 (-20.6) 43% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NDSU -1.1 (-16.9) 135.2 (-17.2) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NDSU -0.7 (-17.3) 139.4 (-21.4) 46% ✓
Baseline ML NDSU -1.4 (-16.6) 139.0 (-21.0) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2023 NDSU 71 – 69 WIU
Dec 20, 2022 WIU 79 – 60 NDSU
Feb 11, 2022 NDSU 84 – 81 WIU
Jan 15, 2022 WIU 90 – 79 NDSU
Jan 3, 2021 NDSU 78 – 67 WIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU NDSU
Overall 7-15 15-12
Conference 5-9 11-5
Home 2-5 6-2
Away 4-9 5-7
Neutral 0-1 4-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 72.7 69.7
Avg Pts Against 80.5 67.7
Massey -7.1 (#268) -1.3 (#188)
Bradley-Terry -1.81 (#279) -1.00 (#234)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.13 (#270) -1.43 (#236)
RPI 0.356 (#314) 0.461 (#212)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU NDSU
FG% 39.0% 40.2%
3PT% 31.2% 32.3%
REB / G 40.0 36.2
OREB / G 13.8 8.9
AST / TO 0.99 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.0% 46.3%
TOV% 17.9% 20.4%
ORB% 30.1% 25.6%
FT Rate 15.2% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 14.0%
DRB% 72.4% 78.5%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 16.4%

Game Analysis

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