Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -333 WIU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -7.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -5.5 (-3.5) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -5.6 (-3.6) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -5.9 (-3.9) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -5.7 (-3.7) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | WIU 79 – 60 NDSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | NDSU 84 – 81 WIU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WIU 90 – 79 NDSU |
| Jan 3, 2021 | NDSU 78 – 67 WIU |
| Jan 2, 2021 | NDSU 68 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#212) | -5.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#224) | -0.34 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#225) | -0.68 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#194) | 0.478 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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