Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -110 NDSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -3.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -2.2 (-5.2) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -1.2 (-4.2) | 149.3 (+15.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -1.6 (-4.6) | 149.2 (+15.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -1.8 (-4.8) | 151.8 (+13.2) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2023 | NDSU 71 – 69 WIU |
| Dec 20, 2022 | WIU 79 – 60 NDSU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WIU 90 – 79 NDSU |
| Jan 3, 2021 | NDSU 78 – 67 WIU |
| Jan 2, 2021 | NDSU 68 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#199) | -2.0 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#211) | 0.39 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#209) | 0.23 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#219) | 0.513 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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