Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -110 NDSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +19 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -4.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -4.5 (+14.5) | 150.6 (-11.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -1.1 (+17.9) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -3.8 (+15.2) | 148.9 (-9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -3.4 (+15.6) | 150.2 (-11.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2023 | NDSU 71 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | NDSU 84 – 81 WIU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WIU 90 – 79 NDSU |
| Jan 3, 2021 | NDSU 78 – 67 WIU |
| Jan 2, 2021 | NDSU 68 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#281) | -5.7 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#175) | -1.97 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | -2.42 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#175) | 0.462 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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