Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UL -150 TXST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +12 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -4.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -5.1 (-17.1) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -3.9 (-15.9) | 129.0 (+1.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -5.4 (-17.4) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -5.1 (-17.1) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UL 67 – 54 TXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | TXST 59 – 54 UL |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UL 70 – 61 TXST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TXST 89 – 74 UL |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UL 66 – 46 TXST |
Game Analysis
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