Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -410 WICH +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -10.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -10.9 (-14.9) | 133.7 (+28.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -9.0 (-13.0) | 135.7 (+26.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -9.6 (-13.6) | 138.7 (+23.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -10.8 (-14.8) | 135.4 (+26.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 16-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-2 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#41) | 4.1 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#103) | 1.71 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#90) | 2.65 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#123) | 0.558 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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