Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | GW +260 DUQ -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -2.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.2 (-10.8) | 147.5 (-9.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -2.2 (-9.8) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.6 (-10.4) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -0.0 (-12.0) | 149.3 (-11.3) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DUQ 88 – 86 GW |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 65 GW |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Mar 3, 2022 | GW 98 – 93 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-12 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 3-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 5-1 |
| Away | 1-5 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#226) | 2.0 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#313) | 0.28 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#300) | 0.10 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.336 (#321) | 0.552 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 26.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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