Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +124 GAST -146 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -3.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.4 (-36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.4 (-12.4) | 158.0 (-26.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -5.0 (-13.0) | 157.9 (-25.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -5.0 (-13.0) | 161.8 (-29.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -4.5 (-12.5) | 158.3 (-26.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
Game Analysis
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