Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -135 AUB +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -0.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -0.6 (+1.4) | 136.9 (-2.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -0.2 (+2.2) | 137.2 (-3.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.3 (+0.7) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -0.4 (+1.6) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | TA&M 90 – 88 AUB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TA&M 83 – 72 AUB |
| Jan 10, 2024 | AUB 66 – 55 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2023 | TA&M 83 – 78 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 63 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 2-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#118) | 6.3 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#100) | 2.01 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#98) | 2.99 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#146) | 0.577 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 37.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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