Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | UND -160 KC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +7 | 97 | Won |
| Massey | UND -0.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -1.2 (+5.8) | 127.2 (-30.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -2.2 (+4.8) | 122.1 (-25.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.6 (+5.4) | 122.9 (-25.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -1.0 (+6.0) | 123.9 (-26.9) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UND 85 – 70 KC |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UND 81 – 79 KC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KC 80 – 69 UND |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UND 76 – 72 KC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KC 65 – 47 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#260) | -4.1 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#282) | -3.05 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#268) | -4.33 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#285) | 0.409 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 50.2% |
Game Analysis
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